The Prediction Market for Broken Promises

"Board of Peace officials announced plans to train and deploy a new 5,000-member 'transitional' Palestinian police force in Gaza within 60 days from the February 19, 2026 announceme..."

Kofi Adams

Sports

PENDING

"Minister Kofi Adams pledged two months of his salary to the newly established Sports Fund following Parliament's approval of the Sports Fund Bill, calling it a demonstration of sup..."

"Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong expressed optimism that the Digital Asset Market Structure Clarity Act could reach a win-win-win conclusion by April 2026, benefiting crypto institutio..."

"Upstart confirmed that co-founder and CTO Paul Gu will succeed Dave Girouard as the company's new CEO, effective May 1, 2026. The leadership transition includes new appointments fo..."

"The Consumer Technology Association announced that Kinsey Fabrizio will become President and CEO, with the leadership transition effective May 1, 2026. Gary Shapiro will continue a..."

Paul S. Atkins

Cryptocurrency

PENDING

"SEC Chairman Paul Atkins promised to release a 'Regulation Crypto Assets' proposal including startup exemptions, fundraising exemptions, and investment contract safe harbors for cr..."

Changpeng Zhao

Cryptocurrency

KEPT

"Binance plans to add over 100 compliance officers by the end of March 2026 as part of broader commitment to meet global regulatory standards amid regulatory scrutiny."

Paul Chan Mo-po

Cryptocurrency

BROKEN

"Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po confirmed during the 2026-27 Budget Speech that Hong Kong will issue its first batch of stablecoin issuer licenses in March 2026 under..."

"Ethena's Season 5 airdrop program is scheduled to run until approximately late March 2026, with the final snapshot and token distribution to be completed by the deadline."

"CNBC announced that 2026 Disruptor 50 honorees will be notified in March, with the list released in May across CNBC's TV, digital and social platforms. The deadline for submissions..."

Ofcom

Tech & Product

KEPT

"Ofcom ordered Facebook, Instagram, Roblox, Snapchat, TikTok and YouTube to show how they will stop under-13s accessing their services and strengthen wider child safety measures, gi..."

Microsoft Leadership

Tech & Product

KEPT

"Microsoft committed to making Microsoft 365 E7 and Microsoft Agent 365 generally available as of May 1, 2026, as part of their strategy to help customers 'seize the agentic moment..."